Imperfect Risk Sharing and the Business Cycle

Working Paper: NBER ID: w26032

Authors: David W. Berger; Luigi Bocola; Alessandro Dovis

Abstract: This paper studies the macroeconomic implications of imperfect risk sharing implied by a class of New Keynesian models with heterogeneous agents. The models in this class can be equivalently represented as a representative-agent economy with wedges. These wedges are functions of households’ consumption shares and relative wages, and they identify the key cross-sectional moments that govern the impact of households’ heterogeneity on aggregate variables. We measure the wedges using U.S. household-level data, and combine them with a representative-agent economy to perform counterfactuals. We find that deviations from perfect risk sharing implied by this class of models account for only 7% of output volatility on average, but can have sizable output effects when nominal interest rates reach their lower bound.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: E32; E44


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
imperfect risk sharing (D52)output volatility (E23)
constraints on monetary policy (E52)effects of imperfect risk sharing (D81)
imperfect risk sharing (D52)output losses during Great Recession (F69)
imperfect risk sharing (D81)slow recovery during Great Recession (N12)
household consumption risk (D11)aggregate economic performance (E10)

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