In the Shadows of the Government: Relationship Building during Political Turnovers

Working Paper: NBER ID: w25300

Authors: Hanming Fang; Zhe Li; Nianhang Xu; Hongjun Yan

Abstract: We document that following a turnover of the Party Secretary or mayor of a city in China, firms (especially private firms) headquartered in that city significantly increase their "perk spending." Both the instrumental-variable-based results and heterogeneity analysis are consistent with the interpretation that the perk spending is used to build relations with local governments. Moreover, local political turnover in a city tends to be followed by changes of Chairmen or CEOs of state-owned firms that are controlled by the local government. However, the Chairmen or CEOs who have connections with local government officials are less likely to be replaced.

Keywords: Political Turnover; Perk Spending; Government Relations; State-Owned Enterprises; China

JEL Codes: G30; G38


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
More government subsidies (H29)Better future performance (ROA or ROE) (L25)
Political turnover (J63)Increase in firms' perk spending (H32)
Political turnover (J63)Building relations with local governments (H70)
Increase in firms' perk spending (H32)More government subsidies (H29)
Increase in firms' perk spending (H32)Better access to financing (O16)

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