Working Paper: NBER ID: w25280
Authors: Axel H. Börsch-Supan; Courtney Coile
Abstract: This is the introduction and summary to the ninth phase of an ongoing project on Social Security Programs and Retirement Around the World. This project, which compares the experiences of a dozen developed countries, was launched in the mid 1990s, following decades of decline in the labor force participation rate of older men. The first several phases of the project document that social security program provisions can create powerful incentives for retirement that are strongly correlated with the labor force behavior of older workers. Subsequent phases have explored how disability program provisions affect retirement, whether there is a link between older employment and youth unemployment, and whether older individuals are healthy enough to work longer.\nIn the two decades since the project began, the dramatic decline in men’s labor force participation has been replaced by sharply rising participation rates. Older women’s participation has increased dramatically as well. Over this same period, countries have undertaken numerous reforms of their social security programs, disability programs, and other public benefit programs available to older workers. In this ninth phase of the project, we explore how the financial incentive to work at older ages has evolved from 1980 to the present. We highlight the important role of reforms in these changing incentives and examine how changing incentives may have affected retirement behavior.
Keywords: Social Security; Retirement; Labor Force Participation; Older Workers
JEL Codes: J14; J26
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| social security reforms (H55) | financial incentives for retirement (J26) |
| financial incentives for retirement (J26) | labor force participation among older workers (J26) |
| implicit tax on working longer (J26) | employment rates for older workers (J26) |
| social security reforms (H55) | employment rates for older workers (J26) |
| decrease in implicit tax on working longer (H31) | increase in employment rates for older workers (J26) |
| social security reforms (H55) | financial incentives to work longer (J26) |