Working Paper: NBER ID: w25029
Authors: Maria Borga; Cecilia Caliandro
Abstract: FDI plays a central role in managing global production networks, but FDI statistics also reflect other factors, including tax avoidance, that make it difficult to differentiate between FDI for “long-term” investments that serves as a source of growth and FDI that is purely financial and has little real economic impact as it merely passes through an economy. This latter FDI also obscures the ultimate sources and destinations of FDI. This paper addresses these challenges by developing a framework for consolidated FDI statistics based on the nationality of the MNE group that complements residency-based FDI statistics. While residency-based statistics are useful to identify where financial claims and liabilities are held, nationality-based statistics provide information on who makes the decisions, reaps the benefits, and bears the risk. Consolidated FDI statistics remove pass-through capital and are better for understanding ‘real’ financial integration between economies and for analysing the relationship between the financing of MNEs and their operations. While some countries produce separate FDI statistics for resident Special Purpose Entities (SPEs) to identify pass-through capital, we demonstrate that this only provides a partial view and that about one-quarter of the inward FDI positions in a selection of European countries reflects pass-through capital through non-SPEs.
Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment; Passthrough Capital; Multinational Enterprises; Financial Integration
JEL Codes: E01; F21; F6
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| passthrough capital (G32) | FDI statistics (F23) |
| passthrough capital (G32) | misrepresentation of actual economic activity (E39) |
| consolidated framework for FDI statistics (F23) | better understanding of financial integration (F30) |
| nationality-based statistics (J11) | insights into investment decisions and risks (G11) |
| passthrough capital (G32) | distortion in current FDI statistics (F21) |
| proposed methodology (C80) | better measures of financial integration (F30) |