Long-Run Effects of Lottery Wealth on Psychological Well-Being

Working Paper: NBER ID: w24667

Authors: Erik Lindqvist; Robert Östling; David Cesarini

Abstract: We surveyed a large sample of Swedish lottery players about their psychological well-being and analyzed the data following pre-registered procedures. Relative to matched controls, large-prize winners experience sustained increases in overall life satisfaction that persist for over a decade and show no evidence of dissipating with time. The estimated treatment effects on happiness and mental health are significantly smaller, suggesting that wealth has greater long-run effects on evaluative measures of well-being than on affective ones. Follow-up analyses of domain-specific aspects of life satisfaction clearly implicate financial life satisfaction as an important mediator for the long-run increase in overall life satisfaction.

Keywords: Lottery; Wealth; Psychological Well-Being; Life Satisfaction; Financial Life Satisfaction

JEL Codes: D69; I31


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Lottery wealth (H27)Overall life satisfaction (I31)
Lottery wealth (H27)Financial life satisfaction (G59)
Financial life satisfaction (G59)Overall life satisfaction (I31)
Lottery wealth (H27)Happiness (I31)
Lottery wealth (H27)Mental health (I19)

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