Policy Uncertainty and Innovation: Evidence from IPO Interventions in China

Working Paper: NBER ID: w24657

Authors: Lin William Cong; Sabrina T. Howell

Abstract: Public equity is an important source of risk capital, especially in China. The Chinese government has occasionally suspended IPOs, exposing firms already approved to IPO to indeterminate listing delays. The temporary bar on going public increases uncertainty about access to public markets for affected firms. We show that suspension-induced delay reduces corporate innovation activity both during the delay and for years after listing. Negative effects on tangible investment and positive effects on leverage are temporary, consistent with financial constraints during the suspensions being resolved after listing. Our results suggest that predictable, well-functioning IPO markets are important for firm value creation. They demonstrate that corporate innovation is cumulative and is negatively affected by policy uncertainty.

Keywords: IPO; policy uncertainty; innovation; China

JEL Codes: G30; G32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
suspension-induced delays (C41)reduction in patent applications (O34)
suspension-induced delays (C41)lower patent quality (L15)
suspension-induced delays (C41)higher leverage (G32)
suspension-induced delays (C41)lower tangible investment (G31)
suspension-induced delays (C41)negative impacts on managerial preferences and innovation activity (O31)

Back to index