Working Paper: NBER ID: w24530
Authors: Kieron Barclay; Torkild Lyngstad; Dalton Conley
Abstract: There has long been interest in the extent to which effects of social stratification extend and persist across generations. We take a novel approach to this question by asking whether birth order and sibling group size in the parental generation influences the educational attainment of their children. To address this question we use Swedish population data on cohorts born 1960-1982. To study the effects of parental birth order and family size we apply a cousin fixed effects design and exploit information on twin births in the parents generation. Relative to having a first-born mother, having a second-born or fifth-born mother is associated with educational attainment at age 30 being 4% and 8% of a standard deviation lower, respectively. After adjusting for attained parental education and social class, the parental birth order effect is heavily attenuated. Nevertheless, we do find that children who share the same birth order and gender as their parents attain slightly more education, and this is particularly pronounced when the parents have higher levels of education themselves. We do not find clear or consistent evidence for parental sibling group size effects. Overall our results suggest that birth order and family size effects operate through a Markovian process of transmission.
Keywords: birth order; family size; educational attainment; intergenerational effects; Sweden
JEL Codes: D1; I24; J1; J13
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Parental birth order (J12) | Offspring educational attainment (I21) |
| Parental educational attainment (I24) | Offspring educational attainment (I21) |
| Social class (D31) | Offspring educational attainment (I21) |
| Children sharing same birth order and gender as parents (J13) | Offspring educational attainment (I21) |
| Parental sibling group size (C92) | Offspring educational attainment (I21) |