The Long-Term Spillover Effects of Changes in the Return to Schooling

Working Paper: NBER ID: w24515

Authors: Ran Abramitzky; Victor Lavy; Santiago Pérez

Abstract: We study the short and long-term spillover effects of a pay reform that substantially increased the returns to schooling in Israeli kibbutzim. This pay reform, which induced kibbutz students to improve their academic achievements during high school, spilled over to non-kibbutz members who attended schools with these kibbutz students. In the short run, peers of kibbutz students improved their high school outcomes and shifted to courses with higher financial returns. In the medium and long run, peers completed more years of postsecondary schooling and increased their earnings. We discuss three main spillover channels: diversion of teachers’ instruction time towards peers, peer effects from improved schooling performance of kibbutz students, and the transmission of information about the returns to schooling. While each of these channels likely contributed to improving the outcomes of peers, we provide suggestive evidence that the estimates are more consistent with the effects operating mainly through transmission of information.

Keywords: spillover effects; returns to schooling; kibbutzim; education policy

JEL Codes: J24


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
pay reform (E69)high school performance (D29)
high school performance (D29)postsecondary schooling (I23)
high school performance (D29)university enrollment rates (I23)
high school performance (D29)annual earnings (J31)
pay reform (E69)information transmission (L96)

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