Working Paper: NBER ID: w24381
Authors: Joseph J. Sabia; Taylor Mackay; Thanh Tam Nguyen; Dhaval M. Dave
Abstract: Ban-the-box (BTB) laws, which prevent employers from asking prospective employees about their criminal histories at initial job screenings, are intended to increase employment opportunities and reduce economic incentives for crime. This study is the first to comprehensively explore the relationship between state and local BTB laws and criminal arrests among racial/ethnic minorities. Using agency-by-month data from the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), we find that BTB laws are associated with a 10 percent increase in criminal incidents involving Hispanic male arrestees. This finding is supported by parallel analysis using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 (NLSY97) and is consistent with BTB law-induced job loss due to employer-based statistical discrimination. We find no evidence that BTB laws increase property crime among African American men despite their also facing statistical discrimination. Supplemental analyses from the American Community Survey (ACS) suggest that barriers to welfare participation among Hispanic men may explain this result. Our estimates suggest that BTB laws generate $401 million in annual crime costs.
Keywords: Ban the Box; crime; employment; racial minorities; statistical discrimination
JEL Codes: J01; J08; K14; K31
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| BTB laws (K16) | property crime incidents involving Hispanic male arrestees (K42) |
| BTB laws (K16) | statistical discrimination in employment opportunities (J71) |
| statistical discrimination in employment opportunities (J71) | property crime incidents involving Hispanic male arrestees (K42) |
| BTB laws (K16) | crime costs (K42) |