Working Paper: NBER ID: w24330
Authors: Shangjin Wei
Abstract: This paper seeks to draw lessons for developing countries based on a survey of the recent literature on financial globalization. First, while capital account openness holds promises (by potentially lowering cost of capital, promoting risk sharing, and providing disciplines on policies), it does not always work out that way in the data. Distortions in the domestic financial market, international capital market, domestic labor market, and domestic public governance can all make financial globalization less beneficial for developing countries. Second, developing countries may seek to avoid the effects of foreign monetary policy shocks. The empirical pattern appears to be somewhere between a trilemma and a dilemma. While nominal exchange rate flexibility provides some policy autonomy but not consistently, capital flow management can confer additional insulation against foreign monetary shocks.
Keywords: financial globalization; developing countries; capital account openness; monetary policy shocks
JEL Codes: F21; G15
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Capital account openness (F30) | Lower cost of capital (G31) |
| Lower cost of capital (G31) | Increased investment (E22) |
| Increased investment (E22) | Economic growth (O00) |
| Greater capital mobility (F20) | Enhanced risk sharing (G19) |
| Enhanced risk sharing (G19) | Reduced volatility of domestic consumption (D19) |
| Financial globalization (F65) | Discipline on macroeconomic policies (E60) |
| Transmission of foreign monetary policy shocks (F42) | Affects developing countries (F63) |
| Capital flow management strategies (F32) | Provide insulation against foreign shocks (F41) |