Do Taxes Increase Economic Inequality? A Comparative Study Based on the State Personal Income Tax

Working Paper: NBER ID: w24175

Authors: Ugo Troiano

Abstract: I present new quasi-experimental evidence on the relationship between tax policies and the distribution of income. I focus on the twentieth century United States, and on the personal income tax, since its inception. I study three major policy events that, as the existing literature shows, significantly raised the revenues from the income tax: the introduction of the state personal income tax, the introduction of tax withholding together with third-party reporting, and the intergovernmental agreements between the federal and state governments to coordinate tax auditing efforts. All the three policies were introduced in a staggered fashion and increased tax revenues, but had different fiscal consequences. Despite this, I find that income inequality raised after all the tax policy events. The result is robust to different measures of economic inequality and econometric specifications.

Keywords: Taxes; Economic Inequality; Personal Income Tax

JEL Codes: D63; H23; N32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
tax policy reforms (H29)income inequality (D31)
state personal income tax (H71)Atkinson index (C43)
tax withholding and third-party reporting (H26)Atkinson index (C43)
intergovernmental agreement for audit information exchange (F53)Atkinson index (C43)

Back to index