Working Paper: NBER ID: w2416
Authors: Neil G. Bennett; Ann Klimas Blanc; David E. Bloom
Abstract: In recent years, the incidence of premarital cohabitation has increased dramatically in many countries of Western Europe and in the United States. As cohabitation becomes a more common experience, it is increasingly important to understand the links between cohabitation and other steps in the process of family formation and dissolution. We focus on the relationship between pre- marital cohabitation and subsequent marital stability, and analyze data from the 1981 Women in Sweden survey using a hazards model approach. Our results indicate that women who premaritally cohabit have almost 80 percent higher marital dissolution rates than those who do not cohabit. Women who cohabit for over three years prior to marriage have over 50 percent higher dissolution rates than women who cohabit for shorter durations. Last, cohabitors and non-cohabitors whose marriages have remained intact for eight years appear to have identical dissolution rates after that time. In addition, we provide evidence that strongly suggests a weaker commitment, on the part of those who cohabit premaritally, to the institution of marriage.
Keywords: premarital cohabitation; marital stability; marital dissolution; hazards model
JEL Codes: J12; J13
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| premarital cohabitation (J12) | marital dissolution (J12) |
| duration of cohabitation > 3 years (J12) | marital dissolution (J12) |
| time since marriage (J12) | marital dissolution rates convergence (J12) |
| premarital cohabitation (J12) | weaker commitment to marriage (J12) |