Working Paper: NBER ID: w24089
Authors: Andrea Barbon; Marco Di Maggio; Francesco Franzoni; Augustin Landier
Abstract: Using trade-level data, we study whether brokers play a role in spreading order flow information. We focus on large portfolio liquidations, which result in temporary drops in stock prices, and identify the brokers that intermediate these trades. We show that these brokers’ best clients tend to predate on the liquidating funds: at the beginning of the fire sale, they sell their holdings in the liquidated stocks, to then cover their positions once asset prices start recovering. The predatory trades generate at least 50 basis points over ten days and cause the liquidation costs for the distressed fund to almost double. These results suggest a role of brokers in fostering predatory behavior and raise a red flag for regulators. Moreover, our findings highlight the trade-off between slow execution and potential information leakage in the decision of optimal trading speed.
Keywords: Brokers; Order Flow; Fire Sales; Predatory Trading
JEL Codes: G12; G14; G23; G33
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Broker awareness (L85) | Likelihood of client predation (C92) |
| Broker awareness (L85) | Trading behavior of clients (G40) |
| Client predation (D18) | Price impact of trades (G14) |
| Broker awareness (L85) | Covering positions by clients (G23) |