Risk Management with Supply Contracts

Working Paper: NBER ID: w23331

Authors: Heitor Almeida; Kristine Watson Hankins; Ryan Williams

Abstract: Purchase obligations are forward contracts with suppliers and are used more broadly than traded commodity derivatives. This paper is the first to document that these contracts are a risk management tool and have a material impact on corporate hedging activity. Firms that expand their risk management options following the introduction of steel futures contracts substitute financial hedging for purchase obligations. Contracting frictions – such as bargaining power and settlement risk – as well as potential hold-up issues associated with relationship-specific investment affects the use of purchase obligations in the cross-section as well as how firms respond to the introduction of steel futures.

Keywords: Risk Management; Supply Contracts; Purchase Obligations; Hedging; Steel Futures

JEL Codes: G32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
purchase obligations (POs) (L14)risk management strategies (H12)
introduction of steel futures (G13)reduction in purchase obligations (POs) (L14)
introduction of steel futures (G13)increase in financial hedging (G19)
reduction in purchase obligations (POs) (L14)stronger reduction for financially healthy firms (G32)
introduction of steel futures (G13)changes in PO usage (L97)

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