Urban Water Disinfection and Mortality Decline in Developing Countries

Working Paper: NBER ID: w23239

Authors: Sonia R. Bhalotra; Alberto Diaz-Cayeros; Grant Miller; Alfonso Miranda; Atheendar S. Venkataramani

Abstract: Historically, improvements in municipal water quality reduced mortality substantially in wealthy countries. However, water disinfection has not produced equivalent benefits in developing countries today. We investigate this puzzle by analyzing a large-scale municipal water disinfection program in Mexico that increased water chlorination coverage from 55% to 90% within 18 months. On average, the program reduced childhood diarrheal disease mortality rates by 50%. However, age (degradation) of water pipes and inadequate sanitation infrastructure attenuated these benefits substantially, ranging from no decline in cities with the worst infrastructure to 80% in those with the best – a decline consistent with historical experience.

Keywords: water disinfection; child mortality; sanitation; infrastructure

JEL Codes: H41; I18; J11


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Programa Agua Limpia (PAL) (Q25)childhood diarrheal disease mortality rates (I15)
better infrastructure (H54)childhood diarrheal disease mortality rates (I15)
older and degraded water systems (Q25)effectiveness of PAL (O22)
extensive sewage infrastructure (H76)health benefits from PAL (I14)
compensatory behavior (D91)health benefits from PAL (I14)

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