Measures of Participation in Global Value Chains and Global Business Cycles

Working Paper: NBER ID: w23222

Authors: Zhi Wang; Shangjin Wei; Xinding Yu; Kunfu Zhu

Abstract: This paper makes two methodological contributions. First, it proposes a framework to decompose total production activities at the country, sector, or country-sector level, to different types, depending on whether they are for pure domestic demand, traditional international trade, simple GVC activities, and complex GVC activities. Second, it proposes a pair of GVC participation indices that improves upon the measures in the existing literature. We apply this decomposition framework to a Global Input-Output Database (WIOD) that cover 44 countries and 56 industries from 2000 to2014 to uncover evolving compositions of different production activities. We also show that complex GVC activities co-move with global GDP growth more strongly than other types of production activities.

Keywords: Global Value Chains; GVC Participation Indices; International Trade

JEL Codes: F10


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
complex GVC activities (F12)global GDP growth (F62)
simple GVC activities (F12)global GDP growth (F62)
higher shares of pure domestic production activities (E20)global GDP growth (F62)

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