Direct and Spillover Effects of Middle School Vaccination Requirements

Working Paper: NBER ID: w23107

Authors: Christopher S. Carpenter; Emily C. Lawler

Abstract: We study the direct and spillover effects of state requirements that middle school youths obtain a tetanus, diphtheria, and pertussis (Tdap) booster prior to middle school entry. These mandates increased vaccine take-up by 29 percent and reduced pertussis (whooping cough) incidence in the population by a much larger 53 percent due to herd immunity effects. We also document cross-vaccine spillovers: the mandates increased adolescent vaccination for meningococcal disease and human papillomavirus (which is responsible for 98 percent of cervical cancers) by 8-34 percent, with particularly large effects for children from low SES households.

Keywords: Vaccination; Public Health; Adolescent Health; Tdap; Herd Immunity

JEL Codes: I1


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Tdap mandates (I19)Tdap vaccination rates (Y10)
Tdap mandates (I19)pertussis morbidity (I12)
Tdap mandates (I19)meningococcal disease vaccination rates (I18)
Tdap mandates (I19)HPV vaccination rates (I19)

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