The Out-of-State Tuition Distortion

Working Paper: NBER ID: w22996

Authors: Brian G. Knight; Nathan M. Schiff

Abstract: Public universities in the United States typically charge much higher tuition to non-residents. Perhaps due, at least in part, to these differences in tuition, roughly 75 percent of students nationwide attend in-state institutions. While distinguishing between residents and non-residents is consistent with welfare maximization by state governments, it may lead to economic inefficiencies from a national perspective, with potential welfare gains associated with reducing the gap between in-state and out-of-state tuition. We first formalize this idea in a simple model. While a social planner maximizing national welfare does not distinguish between residents and non-residents, state governments set higher tuition for non-residents. The welfare gains from reducing this tuition gap can be characterized by a sufficient statistic relating out-of-state enrollment to the tuition gap. We then estimate this sufficient statistic via a border discontinuity design using data on the geographic distribution of student residences by institution.

Keywords: tuition; higher education; welfare; enrollment; public universities

JEL Codes: D7; H7; I2


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
tuition gap (I24)economic inefficiencies (D61)
tuition gap reduction (I24)welfare gains (D69)
higher out-of-state tuition (H79)discourage enrollment (Y40)
out-of-state tuition (H79)student enrollment (I23)
in-state tuition (H73)student enrollment (I23)
sharp discontinuity at state borders (H73)enrollment patterns (I23)

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