Working Paper: NBER ID: w22888
Authors: Annette Alstadster; Martin Jacob; Wojciech Kopczuk; Kjetil Telle
Abstract: Business income is important in the upper tail of the personal income distribution, but the extent to which it is captured by measures of personal income varies substantially across tax regimes. Using linked individual and firm data from Norway, we are able to attribute business income to personal owners as it accrues rather than when it is realized. This adjustment leads to an increase in top income shares, and the size of this effect varies dramatically depending on the tax regime in place. After a tax reform in 2005 that created strong incentives to retain earnings within businesses, the increase was massive: accounting for earnings retained in the corporate sector leads to more than doubling of the share of income of top 0.1% in some years. Furthermore, adjusting for retained earnings stabilizes the composition of the top income group before and after the reform. We also show that the response is driven by majority owners in closely held firms and facilitated through indirect ownership. As the result, traditional measures of top income shares become misleadingly low (even when accounting for capital gains). We speculate on the implications of our findings for levels and trends in top income shares observed in other countries. In particular, we note that the major tax reforms of the 1980s in the United States correspond to a shift toward business income being passed through to personal owners, and argue that top income shares constructed using income tax statistics before 1987 are likely to be significantly understated relative to those afterwards.
Keywords: income inequality; business income; tax regime; Norway; top income shares
JEL Codes: D31; H24; H25
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Tax regime changes (H26) | Income inequality (D31) |
| Adjustment for business income (M41) | Top income shares (D33) |
| 2005 tax reform (H29) | Top income shares (D33) |
| Ownership structure (G32) | Income measurement (I32) |
| Tax structure (H20) | Top income shares in U.S. (pre-1987) (D33) |
| Retention of earnings (G35) | Measurement of income inequality (D31) |