Working Paper: NBER ID: w2281
Authors: Richard H. Steckel
Abstract: This paper utilizes a national sample of nearly 1,600 households linked in the census manuscript schedules to investigate causes and consequences of migration to urban areas during the midst of America's industrial revolution. Although record linkage was limited to the subset of households that had at least one child in 1850, the data are relatively rich in socioeconomic information. A regional analysis of migration and occupational change shows that while established households were generally mobile, they were extraordinarily reluctant to commit labor to urban- industrial pursuits. The evidence suggests that the presence of children, retraining costs, lack of control over fertility, risk aversion, and an unfavorable view of urban areas by rural residents contributed to their avoidance of cities and towns. The findings also contribute to debates over the compression of the wage structure and the extent of socioeconomic mobility.
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JEL Codes: No JEL codes provided
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Presence of children (J13) | Migration to urban areas (R23) |
| Age of household heads (J10) | Migration to urban areas (R23) |
| Wealth (D31) | Migration to urban areas (R23) |
| Risk aversion (D81) | Migration to urban areas (R23) |
| Retraining costs (M53) | Migration to urban areas (R23) |
| Occupational status (J28) | Migration to urban areas (R23) |