Working Paper: NBER ID: w22775
Authors: Patrick Francois; Francesco Trebbi; Kairong Xiao
Abstract: This paper investigates theoretically and empirically the factional arrangements and dynamics within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), the governing political party of the People's Republic of China. Our empirical analysis ranges from the end of the Deng Xiaoping era to the current Xi Jinping presidency and covers the appointments of both national and provincial officials. We present a set of new empirical regularities within the CCP and a theoretical framework suited to model factional politics within single-party regimes.
Keywords: Chinese Communist Party; factional politics; political economy; promotions
JEL Codes: P3; P48
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| factional affiliations (CYLC, Shanghai Gang) (D71) | promotion rates (M51) |
| leader from faction (D70) | promotion rates for faction members (M51) |
| cofactional leaders (D70) | promotion rates for faction members (M51) |
| competition within factions (D74) | individual promotion opportunities (J62) |
| cross-factional dynamics (D74) | pairing in leadership positions (M54) |