Local Government and Old-Age Support in the New Deal

Working Paper: NBER ID: w22760

Authors: Daniel K. Fetter

Abstract: A key question in the design of public assistance to the needy is how allocation of responsibility for funding and decision-making across different levels of government influences the level and type of assistance provided. The New Deal era was a period in which this allocation changed significantly in the United States, as provision of public assistance shifted from local governments to states and the federal government, accompanied by a large increase in government transfer payments. Focusing on assistance to the elderly and using variation in state laws governing the division of funding between local and state governments for the Old Age assistance (OAA) Program, this paper investigates the responsiveness of OAA payments and recipiency to local government funding shares. Payments per elderly resident were significantly lower in states with higher local funding shares, driven largely by reductions in recipiency. The baseline results suggest that had local governments needed to fund half of OAA payments in 1939, on the lower end of local funding shares prior to the New Deal, the share of the elderly receiving OAA would have been 5 percent rather than 22 percent, and perhaps even lower. More speculative results suggest that greater local funding led to lower representation of blacks among OAA recipients relative to their share of the population, particularly in the South.

Keywords: Old Age Assistance; Public Assistance; New Deal; Fiscal Federalism

JEL Codes: H75; H77; I38; N32; N42


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
local funding shares (H79)representation of blacks among OAA recipients (I24)
local funding shares (H79)growth of government old-age support under Social Security Act (H55)
local funding shares (H79)OAA payments per person (H55)
local funding shares (H79)recipiency rate (F35)
local funding shares (H79)share of elderly receiving OAA (J14)

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