Working Paper: NBER ID: w22606
Authors: Annamaria Lusardi; Olivia S. Mitchell
Abstract: The goal of this paper is to ascertain whether older women’s current and anticipated future labor force patterns have changed over time, and if so, to evaluate the factors associated with longer work lives and plans to continue work at older ages. Using data from both the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and the National Financial Capability Study (NFCS), we show that older women’s current and intended future labor force attachment patterns are changing over time. Specifically, compared to our 1992 HRS baseline, more recent cohorts of women in their 50’s and 60s’s are more likely to plan to work longer. When we explore the reasons for delayed retirement among older women, factors include education, more marital disruption, and fewer children than prior cohorts. But household finances also play a key role, in that older women today have more debt than previously and are more financially fragile than in the past. The NFCS data show that factors associated with retirement planning include having more education and greater financial literacy. Those who report excessive amounts of debt and are financially fragile are the least financially literate, had more dependent children, and experienced income shocks. Thus shocks do play a role in older women’s debt status, but it is not enough to have resources: people also need the capacity to manage those resources if they are to stay out of debt as they head into retirement.
Keywords: No keywords provided
JEL Codes: D91; J14
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| higher education levels (I23) | older women's labor market attachment (J21) |
| increased marital disruption (J12) | older women's labor market attachment (J21) |
| greater household debt (G51) | older women's labor market attachment (J21) |
| higher levels of mortgage debt (G51) | likelihood to continue working among older women (J26) |
| excessive debt and financial fragility (F65) | lower financial literacy among older women (G53) |
| income declines (E25) | financial fragility (G51) |
| higher debt levels (H63) | increased labor force attachment among older women (J21) |