Working Paper: NBER ID: w22568
Authors: Benjamin Hansen; Glen R. Waddell
Abstract: Previous research has found strong evidence that legal access to alcohol is associated with sizable increases in criminality. We revisit this relationship using the census of judicial records on criminal charges filed in Oregon Courts, the ability to separately track crimes involving firearms, and to track individuals over time. We find that crime increases at age 21, with increases mostly due to assaults lacking in premeditation, and alcohol-related nuisance crimes. We find no evident increases in rape or robbery. Among those with no prior criminal records, increases in crime are 50 percent larger; still larger for the most socially costly crimes of assault and drunk driving. This suggests that deterring criminality through increased punishments would likely prove difficult.
Keywords: alcohol; criminality; legal access; crime rates
JEL Codes: H75; I1; I12; K42
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Legal access to alcohol (L66) | Overall crime rates (K42) |
| Legal access to alcohol (L66) | Lesser assaults (K49) |
| Legal access to alcohol (L66) | Alcohol-related nuisance crimes (K42) |
| Legal access to alcohol (L66) | Crime increase among first-time offenders (K42) |
| Legal access to alcohol (L66) | DUI and reckless driving offenses (R48) |
| Legal access to alcohol (L66) | Increased crime among individuals without prior criminal records (K42) |
| Legal access to alcohol (L66) | Long-term effects of alcohol access on criminality (K14) |