Employment Effects of the ACA Medicaid Expansions

Working Paper: NBER ID: w22540

Authors: Pauline Leung; Alexandre Mas

Abstract: We examine whether the recent expansions in Medicaid from the Affordable Care Act reduced “employment lock” among childless adults who were previously ineligible for public coverage. We compare employment in states that chose to expand Medicaid versus those that chose not to expand, before and after implementation. We find that although the expansion increased Medicaid coverage by 3.0 percentage points among childless adults, there was no significant impact on employment.

Keywords: Medicaid Expansion; Employment Lock; Affordable Care Act

JEL Codes: H0; J0; J18


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Medicaid coverage (I18)employment lock (J63)
employment lock (J63)employment (J68)
Medicaid expansion (I18)Medicaid coverage (I18)
Medicaid expansion (I18)employment (J68)

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