Measuring Aggregate Price Indexes with Taste Shocks: Theory and Evidence for CES Preferences

Working Paper: NBER ID: w22479

Authors: Stephen J Redding; David E Weinstein

Abstract: We develop an approach to measuring the cost of living for CES preferences that treats demand shocks as taste shocks that are equivalent to price shocks. In the presence of relative taste shocks, the Sato-Vartia price index is upward biased because an increase in the relative consumer taste for a variety lowers its taste-adjusted price and raises its expenditure share. By failing to allow for this association, the Sato-Vartia index underweights drops in taste-adjusted prices and overweights increases in taste-adjusted prices, leading to what we term a “taste-shock bias.” We show that this bias generalizes to other invertible demand systems.

Keywords: Cost of Living; CES Preferences; Demand Shocks; Taste Shocks

JEL Codes: D11; D12; E01; E31


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
taste shocks (D11)cost of living (J30)
demand shocks (E39)taste shocks (D11)
taste shocks (D11)Sato-Vartia price index bias (C43)
Sato-Vartia price index bias (C43)cost of living measurement (C82)
taste shocks (D11)cost of living measurement (C82)
entry and exit of varieties + taste shocks (L15)cost of living measurement (C82)

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