Does Career Risk Deter Potential Entrepreneurs?

Working Paper: NBER ID: w22446

Authors: Joshua D. Gottlieb; Richard R. Townsend; Ting Xu

Abstract: Do potential entrepreneurs remain in wage employment because of concerns that they will face worse job opportunities should their entrepreneurial ventures fail? Using a Canadian reform that extended job-protected leave to one year for women giving birth after a cutoff date, we study whether the option to return to a previous job increases entrepreneurship. A regression discontinuity design reveals that longer job-protected leave increases entrepreneurship by 1.9 percentage points. These entrepreneurs start incorporated businesses that hire employees—in industries where experimentation before entry has low costs and high benefits.

Keywords: entrepreneurship; job-protected leave; career risk

JEL Codes: H50; J13; J16; J65; J88; L26


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
reduced career risk (J62)increased likelihood of starting incorporated businesses (L26)
mothers with entrepreneurial ideas use leave to explore them (L26)increased entrepreneurship (L26)
mothers without initial entrepreneurial intentions develop ideas during leave (L26)increased entrepreneurship (L26)
high wage penalties associated with leaving for entrepreneurship (L26)stronger effect of extended leave on entrepreneurship (L26)
extended job-protected leave (J22)increased entrepreneurship among mothers (L26)
mothers who gave birth just after the cutoff (J13)increased entrepreneurship compared to those before cutoff (L26)

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