Who's the Boss? The Effect of Strong Leadership on Employee Turnover

Working Paper: NBER ID: w22383

Authors: Susan Payne Carter; Whitney Dudley; David S. Lyle; John Z. Smith

Abstract: Despite the importance placed on supervision in the workplace, little is known about the effects of a boss’ leadership quality on labor market outcomes such as employee job retention. Using plausibly exogenous assignment of junior officers to bosses in the U.S. Army, we find positive retention effects for those assigned to immediate and senior bosses who are good leaders. These effects are strongest for officers with high SAT scores. Junior officers who share the same home geographic region, high SAT, and undergraduate institution as their bosses who also have strong leadership qualities retain at the highest rates.

Keywords: leadership; employee turnover; U.S. Army; retention; junior officers

JEL Codes: J01; J08; J24; J53; J63


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
strong leadership of immediate boss (M54)retention rates (M51)
strong leadership of senior boss (M54)retention rates (M51)
strong leadership of immediate boss + strong leadership of senior boss (M54)retention rates (M51)
strong leadership of immediate boss + strong leadership of senior boss (M54)retention rates for junior officers with high SAT scores (I21)
same census division boss (C80)retention rates (M51)
high SAT scores of boss + strong leadership of immediate boss (M54)retention rates (M51)
high SAT scores of boss + strong leadership of senior boss (M54)retention rates (M51)

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