How Exporters Grow

Working Paper: NBER ID: w21935

Authors: Doireann Fitzgerald; Stefanie Haller; Yaniv Yedidlevi

Abstract: We show that in successful episodes of export market entry, there are statistically and economically significant post-entry dynamics of quantities, but no post-entry dynamics of markups. This suggests that shifts in demand play an important role in successful entry, but that firms do not use dynamic manipulation of markups as an instrument to shift demand. We structurally estimate two competing models of customer base accumulation to match these moments. In the first model, firms use marketing and advertising to acquire new customers and thereby shift demand and increase sales. In the second, they use temporarily low markups to do so. The marketing and advertising model fits the quantity and markup moments well, and implies that successful entry is associated with high selling expenses. The second model cannot simultaneously fit quantity and markup moments, even with a counterfactually high price elasticity of demand and trade elasticity. We conclude that successful market entry is more likely to be associated with high selling expenses than low markups.

Keywords: Export market entry; Customer base accumulation; Marketing and advertising; Post-entry dynamics

JEL Codes: E2; F1; L1


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
customer base accumulation (D26)successful market entry (D40)
demand shifts (J20)exporter growth (F10)
high selling expenses (M30)successful market entry (D40)
low markups (D43)customer base accumulation (D26)
non-price actions (marketing and advertising) (M30)demand shifts (J20)
tenure and duration (C41)dynamics of quantities and markups (C69)

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