An Illiquid Market in the Desert: Estimating the Cost of Water Trade Restrictions in Northern Chile

Working Paper: NBER ID: w21869

Authors: Eric C. Edwards; Oscar Cristi; Gonzalo Edwards; Gary D. Libecap

Abstract: This paper estimates the cost of a policy to restrict water trades to mining firms in northern Chile to protect riparian ecosystems and indigenous agriculture. In response to the policy, mining firms have developed high-cost desalination and pumping facilities to secure adequate water supplies. We develop a methodology and estimate the cost of market transactions that fail to occur due to the policy. Lost trade surplus is estimated at $52 million per year. Without trade restrictions, around 86% of the remaining agricultural water in the region would be transferred to mining.

Keywords: water trade; environmental regulation; mining; Chile; indigenous agriculture

JEL Codes: N56; N76; Q25; Q28; Q51; Q56


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
policy restricting water trades (Q25)increased costs for mining firms (L72)
increased costs for mining firms (L72)investment in high-cost desalination and pumping facilities (Q25)
policy restricting water trades (Q25)lost trade surplus (F14)
policy restricting water trades (Q25)higher prices for mining firms for water rights (L72)
policy restricting water trades (Q25)indirect effects on local agricultural production (Q11)
policy restricting water trades (Q25)indirect effects on indigenous water access (Q25)

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