Overconfidence and Preferences for Competition

Working Paper: NBER ID: w21695

Authors: Ernesto Reuben; Paola Sapienza; Luigi Zingales

Abstract: We study whether and when preferences for competition are a positive economic trait among high-earners and to what extent this trait can explain the gender gap in income among MBAs. Consistent with the experimental evidence, preferences for competition are a positive economic trait only for non-overconfident individuals. Preferences for competition correlate with income only at graduation when bonuses are guaranteed and not a function of performance. Overconfident, competition loving MBAs have lower compensation and income growth, and experience greater exit from high-reward industries and more frequent job interruptions. Preferences for competition do not explain the gender pay gap among MBAs.

Keywords: overconfidence; preferences for competition; gender gap; income

JEL Codes: C93; D81; D84; I21; J16


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
preferences for competition (L13)income at graduation (D29)
overconfidence + preferences for competition (D91)lower compensation and income growth (J31)
overconfidence + preferences for competition (D91)more likely to exit high-reward industries (L19)
preferences for competition (L13)gender pay gap (J31)
overconfidence + preferences for competition (D91)negative effect on realized income (H31)
below-average overconfidence (D80)earn significantly more (J31)
preferences for competition + not overconfidence (D81)beneficial in high pay-for-performance jobs (J33)
preferences for competition (L13)gender income gap seven years post-graduation (J31)

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