House Prices, Home Equity, and Entrepreneurship: Evidence from U.S. Census Micro Data

Working Paper: NBER ID: w21458

Authors: Sari Kerr; William R. Kerr; Ramana Nanda

Abstract: During 1992-2007, house price growth is strongly correlated with local entrepreneurship. We show with Census Bureau data that most of this entry is related to construction and real estate; these entrants tend to be small and short-lived. Using a 1998 Texas reform that allowed home equity lending for the first time in the state, we isolate that entrepreneurship through the collateral channel tends to be longer-lived and more balanced across sectors. The collateral channel is a tenth or less of the entry associated with house price increases, driven by a small share of homeowners who are constrained without price growth.

Keywords: house prices; home equity; entrepreneurship; Texas reform

JEL Codes: E44; G21; L26; M13; R12; R31; R32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
house price growth during 1992-2007 (R31)local entrepreneurship (L26)
house price growth during 1992-2007 (R31)new business entries in construction and real estate sectors (L74)
introduction of home equity lending in Texas in 1998 (G51)longer-lived entrepreneurship (L26)
introduction of home equity lending in Texas in 1998 (G51)more balanced entrepreneurship across sectors (L26)
house price increases (R31)entry associated with house price increases (R31)
collateral channel (G29)overall entrepreneurship growth (L26)

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