The Impact of Tuition Increases on Undocumented College Students' Attainment

Working Paper: NBER ID: w21135

Authors: Dylan Conger; Lesley J. Turner

Abstract: We examine the impact of a temporary price shock on the attainment of undocumented college students enrolled in a large urban college system. In spring 2002, the City University of New York reversed its policy of charging in-state tuition to undocumented students. By fall 2002, the state legislature restored in-state rates. Using a differences-in-differences identification strategy, we estimate impacts on reenrollment, credits, grades, and degree completion. The price shock led to an immediate 8 percent decrease in senior college students' enrollment. Senior college students who entered college the semester prior to the price shock experienced lasting reductions in attainment, including a 22 percent decrease in degree receipt. Conversely, among senior college students who been enrolled for at least a year, the price shock only affected the timing of exit.

Keywords: tuition increases; undocumented students; college attainment; differences-in-differences

JEL Codes: H75; I21; J15


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
tuition price shock (A19)reenrollment (I23)
tuition price shock (A19)degree receipt (Y40)
tuition price shock (A19)credits earned (G12)
tuition price shock (A19)timing of exit (C41)
tuition price shock (A19)reenrollment of undocumented community college students (I23)

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