Accounting for the Rise in C-Sections: Evidence from Population Level Data

Working Paper: NBER ID: w21022

Authors: Sara Allin; Michael Baker; Maripier Isabelle; Mark Stabile

Abstract: Drawing on administrative records of nearly 4 million births in Canada as well as macro data from the US and Australia, we provide a comprehensive account of rising C-section rates. We explicitly consider the contributions of the changing characteristics of mothers, births, and physicians as well as changing financial incentives for C-section deliveries. These factors account for at most one-half of the increase in C-section rates. The majority of the remaining increase in C-sections over the period 1994-2011 occurred in the early 2000s. We overview the relative contributions that the Hannah Breech Trial and technological change may have played in this development.

Keywords: C-section; public health; physician incentives; health care system; Canada

JEL Codes: I11; I12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
maternal age (J13)probability of c-section delivery (C46)
previous c-section (Y50)probability of c-section delivery (C46)
multiple gestation (J12)probability of c-section delivery (C46)
fetal distress (J13)probability of c-section delivery (C46)
financial incentives (M52)probability of c-section delivery (C46)
Hannah Breech trial (K36)c-section rates (J13)
changes in maternal and delivery characteristics + physician incentives (I11)increase in c-section rates (J19)

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