A Quantitative Analysis of Subsidy Competition in the US

Working Paper: NBER ID: w20975

Authors: Ralph Ossa

Abstract: I use a quantitative economic geography model to explore subsidy competition among U.S. states. I ask what motivates state governments to subsidize firm relocations and quantify how strong their incentives are. I also characterize fully non-cooperative and cooperative subsidy choices and assess how far away we are from these extremes. I find that states have strong incentives to subsidize firm relocations in order to gain at the expense of other states. I also find that observed subsidies are closer to cooperative than non-cooperative subsidies but the potential losses from an escalation of subsidy competition are large.

Keywords: subsidy competition; economic geography; agglomeration externalities

JEL Codes: F12; F13; R12; R58


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
states have strong incentives to subsidize firm relocations (R38)economic advantages over other states (H79)
optimal subsidies (H21)economic advantages for states (H79)
optimal subsidies (H21)economic disadvantages for neighboring states (F69)
observed subsidies are much closer to cooperative than noncooperative subsidies (C71)states are not fully engaged in a subsidy war (H79)
escalating subsidy competition (H29)inefficiency of beggar-thy-neighbor policies (F68)
agglomeration externality (R11)states seek to attract firms (F23)

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