Are the World's Poorest Being Left Behind?

Working Paper: NBER ID: w20791

Authors: Martin Ravallion

Abstract: The traditional approach to poverty measurement puts no explicit weight on success at increasing the typical level of living of the poorest—raising the consumption floor. To address this deficiency, the paper defines and measures the expected value of the floor, allowing for transient effects and measurement errors in survey data. On using all suitable and available surveys for the developing world over 1981-2011, the expected value of the floor is about half the $1.25 a day poverty line. There has been only modest progress in raising the floor, despite much progress in reducing the number living near the floor.

Keywords: Poverty Measurement; Consumption Floor; Economic Growth; Social Justice

JEL Codes: I32; I38; O15


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
counting approach (C25)consumption floor (E20)
rawlsian approach (D63)poverty assessment (I32)
transient consumption shortfalls (D15)poverty levels (I32)
economic growth (O49)consumption floor (E20)
consumption floor (E20)poverty reduction (I32)
economic growth (O49)poverty levels (I32)

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