Two-Person Dynamic Equilibrium Trading in the Capital Market

Working Paper: NBER ID: w2016

Authors: Bernard Dumas

Abstract: When several investors with different risk aversions trade competitively in a capital market, the allocation of wealth fluctuates randomly between them and acts as a state variable against which each market participant will want to hedge. This hedging motive complicates the investors' portfolio choice and the equilibrium in the capital market. Although every financial economist is aware of this difficulty, to our knowledge, this issue has never been analyzed in detail. The current paper features two investors, with the same degree of impatience, one of them being logarithmic and the other having an isoelastic utility function. They face one risky constant-return-to-scale stationary production opportunity and they can borrow and lend to and from each other. The behavior of the allocation of wealth is characterized, along with the behavior of the rate of interest and that of the security market line. The two main results are: (1) investors in equilibrium do revise their portfolios over time so that some trading takes place, (2) provided some conditions are satisfied, the allocation of wealth admits a steady-state distribution at an interior point; this is in contrast to the certainty case, where one investor in the long run holds all the wealth. The existence of trading opens the way to a theory of capital flows and market trading volume.

Keywords: Dynamic Asset Pricing; Capital Market; Investor Behavior; Risk Aversion

JEL Codes: G11; G12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
allocation of wealth (D31)trading behavior (G41)
trading behavior (G41)market equilibrium (D53)
allocation of wealth (D31)market equilibrium (D53)
differing risk aversions (D81)portfolio choices (G11)
risk introduction (D81)stochastically variable distribution of wealth (D39)
allocation of wealth (D31)steady-state distribution (D39)

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