When Does Regulation Distort Costs? Lessons from Fuel Procurement in U.S. Electricity Generation

Working Paper: NBER ID: w20109

Authors: Steve Cicala

Abstract: This paper evaluates changes in fuel procurement practices by coal- and gas-fired power plants in the United States following state-level legislation that ended cost-of-service regulation of electricity generation. I find that deregulated plants substantially reduce the price paid for coal (but not gas), and tend to employ less capital-intensive sulfur abatement techniques relative to matched plants that were not subject to any regulatory change. Deregulation also led to a shift toward more productive coal mines. I show how these results lend support to theories of asymmetric information, capital bias, and regulatory capture as important sources of regulatory distortion.

Keywords: Regulation; Electricity Generation; Cost of Service; Deregulation; Fuel Procurement

JEL Codes: D24; D72; D82; L11; L43; L51; L94; L98; Q4; Q48


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Deregulation (L51)Reduction in price paid for coal (Q31)
Deregulation (L51)Shift toward more productive coal mines (L71)
Deregulation (L51)Less capital-intensive sulfur abatement techniques (Q52)
Divested plants (G33)Switch from bituminous to low-sulfur subbituminous coal (L71)
Regulated plants (L51)Installation of scrubbers (Q52)
Deregulation (L51)Increase in out-of-state coal purchases (H79)
Regulation (L51)Hindered efficient procurement practices (H57)
Deregulation (L51)Purchase from mines with lower extraction costs (L72)
Regulatory capture (G18)Distorted procurement decisions (H57)
Deregulation (L51)No significant impact on price of fuel paid by gas-fired generators (L94)
Asymmetric information (D82)Distorted procurement decisions under regulation (H57)

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