The Effect of Medical Marijuana Laws on Marijuana, Alcohol, and Hard Drug Use

Working Paper: NBER ID: w20085

Authors: Hefei Wen; Jason M. Hockenberry; Janet R. Cummings

Abstract: 21 states and the District of Columbia currently have laws that permit marijuana use for medical purposes, often termed medical marijuana laws (MMLs). We tested the effects of MMLs adopted in seven states between 2004 and 2011 on adolescent and adult marijuana, alcohol, and hard drug use. We employed a restricted-access version of the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) micro-level data with geographic identifiers. For those 21 and older, we found that MMLs led to a relative increase in the probability of marijuana use of 16 percent, an increase in marijuana use frequency of 12-17 percent, and an increase in the probability of marijuana abuse/dependence of 15-27 percent. For those 12-20 years old, we found a relative increase in marijuana use initiation of 5-6 percent. Among those aged 21 or above, MMLs increased the frequency of binge drinking by 6-9 percent, but MMLs did not affect drinking behavior among those 12-20 years old. MMLs had no discernible impact on hard drug use in either age group. Taken together, MML implementation increases marijuana use mainly among those over 21, where there is also a spillover effect of increased binge drinking, but there is no evidence of spillovers to other substance use.

Keywords: Medical Marijuana Laws; Substance Use; Public Health; Alcohol Use

JEL Codes: I18; K32


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
medical marijuana laws (MMLs) (I18)marijuana use (I12)
medical marijuana laws (MMLs) (I18)binge drinking frequency (I12)
medical marijuana laws (MMLs) (I18)marijuana abuse/dependence (I12)
medical marijuana laws (MMLs) (I18)marijuana use initiation (L26)
medical marijuana laws (MMLs) (I18)alcohol use (L66)
medical marijuana laws (MMLs) (I18)hard drug use (I12)

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