Can Taxes Shape an Industry? Evidence from the Implementation of the Amazon Tax

Working Paper: NBER ID: w20052

Authors: Brian Baugh; Itzhak Bendavid; Hoonsuk Park

Abstract: For years, online retailers have maintained a price advantage over brick-and-mortar retailers by not collecting sales tax at the time of sale. Recently, several states have required that online retailer Amazon collect sales tax during checkout. Using transaction-level data, we document that households living in these states reduced Amazon purchases by 9.4% after sales tax laws were implemented, implying elasticities ranging from –1.2 to –1.4. The effect is more pronounced for large purchases, for which we estimate a reduction of 29.1% in purchases, corresponding to an elasticity of –3.9. Studying competitors in the electronics field, we detect some evidence of substitution toward competing retailers.

Keywords: Amazon tax; sales tax; consumer behavior; elasticity; online retail

JEL Codes: D12; D40; L51


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Amazon tax (H26)consumer behavior (D19)
Amazon tax (H26)Amazon expenditures (L81)
Amazon tax (H26)spending on transactions of at least $250 (H76)
Amazon tax (H26)low-income household spending (D12)
Amazon tax (H26)high-income household spending (D12)
Amazon tax (H26)spending at NewEgg (D12)
sales tax increase (H29)tax-exclusive Amazon spending (H26)

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