Liquidity Risk and the Dynamics of Arbitrage Capital

Working Paper: NBER ID: w19931

Authors: Péter Kondor; Dimitri Vayanos

Abstract: We develop a continuous-time model of liquidity provision, in which hedgers can trade multiple risky assets with arbitrageurs. Arbitrageurs have CRRA utility, while hedgers’ asset demand is independent of wealth. An increase in hedgers’ risk aversion can make arbitrageurs endogenously more risk-averse. Because arbitrageurs generate endogenous risk, an increase in their wealth or a reduction in their CRRA coefficient can raise risk premia despite Sharpe ratios declining. Arbitrageur wealth is a priced risk factor because assets held by arbitrageurs offer high expected returns but suffer the most when wealth drops. Aggregate illiquidity, which declines in wealth, captures that factor.

Keywords: Liquidity; Arbitrage; Risk Premia

JEL Codes: D53; G01; G11; G12


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
Hedgers' risk aversion (D81)Arbitrageurs' risk aversion (D81)
Liquidity providers' capital (G33)Asset pricing (G19)
Liquidity providers' capital (G33)Aggregate illiquidity (G33)
Wealth of arbitrageurs (G19)Return variances and covariances (C29)

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