The Decline, Rebound, and Further Rise in SNAP Enrollment: Disentangling Business Cycle Fluctuations and Policy Changes

Working Paper: NBER ID: w19363

Authors: Peter Ganong; Jeffrey B. Liebman

Abstract: Approximately 1-in-7 people and 1-in-4 children received benefits from the US Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) in July 2011, both all-time highs. We analyze changes in SNAP take-up over the past two decades. From 1994 to 2001, coincident with welfare reform, take-up fell from 75% to 54% of eligible people. The take-up rate then rebounded, and, following several policy changes to improve program access, stabilized at 69% in 2007. Finally, take-up and enrollment rose dramatically in the Great Recession, with take-up reaching 87% in 2011. We find that changes in local unemployment can explain at least two-thirds of the increase in enrollment from 2007 to 2011. Increased state adoption of relaxed income and asset thresholds and temporary changes in program rules for childless adults explain 18% of the increase. Total SNAP spending today is 6% higher than it would be without these increases in eligibility. The recession-era increase in benefit levels is also likely to have increased enrollment.

Keywords: SNAP; enrollment; business cycle; policy changes; unemployment

JEL Codes: E24; E62; H53; I38


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
local unemployment (J64)SNAP enrollment (I38)
unemployment duration (J64)SNAP enrollment (I38)
relaxed income and asset thresholds (I31)SNAP enrollment (I38)
temporary changes in program rules for ABAWDs (I38)SNAP enrollment (I38)
recession-era increase in benefit levels (H55)SNAP enrollment (I38)
broad-based categorical eligibility (I38)SNAP enrollment (I38)
ABAWD waivers during high unemployment periods (J68)SNAP enrollment (I38)

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