Working Paper: NBER ID: w19357
Authors: Ava Cas; Elizabeth Frankenberg; Wayan Suriastini; Duncan Thomas
Abstract: Identifying the impact of parental death on the well-being of children is complicated because parental death is likely to be correlated with other, unobserved, factors that affect child well-being. Population-representative longitudinal data collected in Aceh, Indonesia, before and after the December 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami are used to identify the impact of parental deaths on the well-being of children who were age 9 through 17 years old at the time of the tsunami. Exploiting the unanticipated nature of parental death due to the tsunami in combination with measuring well-being of the same children before and after the tsunami, models that include child fixed effects are estimated to isolate the causal effect of parental death. Comparisons are drawn between those children who lost one parent, both parents and those whose parents survived. Shorter-term impacts on school attendance and time allocation a year after the tsunami are examined as well as longer-term impacts on education trajectories and marriage. Shorter- and longer-term impacts are not the same. Five years after the tsunami, there are substantial deleterious impacts of the tsunami on older boys and girls whereas the effects on younger children are more muted.
Keywords: Parental Death; Child Wellbeing; Tsunami; Longitudinal Data; Human Capital
JEL Codes: J12; O15
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| Parental death (J12) | Educational attainment of older boys (I21) |
| Parental death (J12) | Enrollment in school of older boys (I23) |
| Father's death (J12) | Educational attainment of older boys (I21) |
| Parental death (J12) | Enrollment in school of older girls (I21) |
| Parental death (J12) | Marriage likelihood of older girls (J12) |
| Parental death (J12) | Scholarship likelihood for younger children (I24) |