Looking Beyond Enrollment: The Causal Effect of Need-Based Grants on College Access, Persistence, and Graduation

Working Paper: NBER ID: w19306

Authors: Benjamin L. Castleman; Bridget Terry Long

Abstract: The government has attempted to ameliorate gaps in college access and success by providing need-based grants, but little evidence exists on the long-term impacts of such aid. We examine the effects of the Florida Student Access Grant (FSAG) using a regression-discontinuity strategy and exploiting the cut-off used to determine eligibility. We find grant eligibility had a positive effect on attendance, particularly at public four-year institutions. Moreover, FSAG increased the rate of credit accumulation and bachelor’s degree completion within six years, with a 22 percent increase for students near the eligibility cutoff. The effects are robust to sensitivity analysis.

Keywords: Need-based grants; College access; Persistence; Graduation

JEL Codes: I2; J24


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
FSAG eligibility (I38)probability of immediate enrollment in a public four-year university (I23)
FSAG eligibility (I38)likelihood of continuous enrollment into the spring semester of the freshman year (I23)
FSAG eligibility (I38)earned credits after three years (G51)
FSAG eligibility (I38)probability of earning a bachelor's degree within six years (D29)

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