The Wage Effects of Not-for-Profit and For-Profit Certifications: Better Data, Somewhat Different Results

Working Paper: NBER ID: w19135

Authors: Kevin Lang; Russell Weinstein

Abstract: Using the Beginning Postsecondary Student Survey and Transcript Data, we find no statistically significant differential return to certificate or Associate's degrees between for-profits and not-for-profits. Point estimates suggest a slightly lower return to a for-profit certificate and a slightly higher return to a for-profit Associate's degree, largely because more students at not-for-profits earn a BA, making them less likely to have only an Associate's degree. There is considerable variation in the return to certificates/degrees across majors, including many with negligible or negative returns. Differences across fields are large relative to differences across institution types.

Keywords: forprofit education; notforprofit education; labor market returns; certificates; associates degrees

JEL Codes: I23; J3


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
forprofit institutions (L39)returns to certifications (Y10)
notforprofit institutions (L39)returns to certifications (Y10)
forprofit institutions (L39)lower return to certificate (G12)
forprofit institutions (L39)higher return to associate degree (I26)
notforprofit institutions (L39)bachelor's degree attainment (I24)
major concentration (Y80)differential return to associate degree (I26)
returns to certifications (Y10)variation across majors (D29)
returns to certifications (Y10)preentry differences among students (I24)
preentry characteristics (L26)observed differences in earnings (J31)

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