Reference Dependence and Labor Market Fluctuations

Working Paper: NBER ID: w19085

Authors: Kfir Eliaz; Rani Spiegler

Abstract: We incorporate reference-dependent worker behavior into a search-matching model of the labor market, in which firms have all the bargaining power and productivity follows a log-linear AR(1) process. Motivated by Akerlof (1982) and Bewley (1999), we assume that existing workers' output falls stochastically from its normal level when their wage falls below a "reference point", which (following Kőszegi and Rabin (2006)) is equal to their lagged-expected wage. We formulate the model game-theoretically and show that it has a unique subgame perfect equilibrium that exhibits the following properties: existing workers experience downward wage rigidity, as well as destruction of output following negative shocks due to layoffs or loss of morale; newly hired workers earn relatively flexible wages, but not as much as in the benchmark without reference dependence; market tightness is more volatile than under this benchmark. We relate these findings to the debate over the "Shimer puzzle" (Shimer (2005)).

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: D03; E24; E32; J64


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
existing workers (J29)output (C67)
wage cuts (J38)morale (I31)
morale (I31)productivity (O49)
new hires (M51)wages (J31)
wage rigidity (J31)market dynamics (D49)

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