Supply Chain Trade: A Portrait of Global Patterns and Several Testable Hypotheses

Working Paper: NBER ID: w18957

Authors: Richard Baldwin; Javier Lopez-Gonzalez

Abstract: The trade linked to international production networks - supply-chain trade for short - is associated with momentous global economic changes. This paper presents a portrait of the global pattern of supply-chain trade and how it has evolved since 1995. The paper draws on a variety of data sources but most heavily on the recent World Input-Output Database. China's supply-chain trade receives special attention.

Keywords: Supply Chain Trade; Global Value Chains; International Trade

JEL Codes: F1; F2; F21


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
supply chain trade (F19)global economic relations (F01)
increase in supply chain trade (F10)changes in global distribution of manufacturing and trade shares (F62)
rise of China and other developing nations in global manufacturing (O14)increased participation in international production networks (F60)
supply chain dynamics (C69)decline of G7's share of world trade and income (F62)

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