Trade Theory with Numbers: Quantifying the Consequences of Globalization

Working Paper: NBER ID: w18896

Authors: Arnaud Costinot; Andrés Rodríguez-Clare

Abstract: We review a recent body of theoretical work that aims to put numbers on the consequences of globalization. A unifying theme of our survey is methodological. We rely on gravity models and demonstrate how they can be used for counterfactual analysis. We highlight how various economic considerations--market structure, firm-level heterogeneity, multiple sectors, intermediate goods, and multiple factors of production--affect the magnitude of the gains from trade liberalization. We conclude by discussing a number of outstanding issues in the literature as well as alternative approaches for quantifying the consequences of globalization.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: F11; F12; F13; F15; F17; F60; F62


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
trade costs (F19)welfare outcomes (I38)
current trade equilibrium (F19)real income (D31)
multiple sectors and intermediate goods (L60)gains from trade (F11)

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