Working Paper: NBER ID: w18638
Authors: Julio J. Rotemberg
Abstract: A model is presented in which people base their labor search strategy on the average wage and the average unemployment duration of people who belong to their peer group. It is shown that, if the distribution of wage offers is not stationary so lower wage offers tend to arrive before higher wage ones, such learning can induce a great deal of wage inequality. An equilibrium model is developed in which firms can choose either to advertise their job openings prominently or not. Prominent ads are assumed to have more influence on more inexperienced job searchers who are less able to identify a multiplicity of viable jobs. Equilibria can then feature groups that learn naively from the experience of their members and accept low wage offers from prominent ads while other groups do not find these offers acceptable. A new test statistic is proposed that measures whether, as predicted by the model, the gains from increasing one's reservation wage are larger than either those that people expect or those predicted by models in which job offers are stationary.
Keywords: job advertisements; group learning; wage dispersion
JEL Codes: D83; J31; J64
Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.
| Cause | Effect |
|---|---|
| peer group learning (C92) | wage acceptance (J31) |
| wage offers (J31) | wage inequality (J31) |
| job advertisement prominence (M51) | wage dispersion (J31) |
| naive learning from peers (C92) | acceptance of low wage offers (J31) |
| sophisticated learning (J24) | waiting for better opportunities (J62) |
| different learning strategies (C90) | divergence in wage outcomes (J31) |