The Short-run and Long-run Effects of Behavioral Interventions: Experimental Evidence from Energy Conservation

Working Paper: NBER ID: w18492

Authors: Hunt Allcott; Todd Rogers

Abstract: We document three remarkable features of the Opower program, in which social comparison- based home energy reports are repeatedly mailed to more than six million households nationwide. First, initial reports cause high-frequency "action and backsliding," but these cycles attenuate over time. Second, if reports are discontinued after two years, effects are relatively persistent, decaying at 10-20 percent per year. Third, consumers are slow to habituate: they continue to respond to repeated treatment even after two years. We show that the previous conservative assumptions about post-intervention persistence had dramatically understated cost effectiveness and illustrate how empirical estimates can optimize program design.

Keywords: No keywords provided

JEL Codes: D03; D11; L97; Q41


Causal Claims Network Graph

Edges that are evidenced by causal inference methods are in orange, and the rest are in light blue.


Causal Claims

CauseEffect
initial reports sent to households (R20)high-frequency actions to conserve energy (Q41)
initial reports sent to households (R20)energy conservation actions (Q48)
discontinuation of reports after two years (C42)persistent effects (C41)
sustained behavioral interventions (C92)consumer awareness and action towards energy savings (Q41)
slow habituation to reports (C92)continued response to repeated treatments (C22)

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